North Carolina
Atlantic Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#68
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#91
Pace73.5#67
Improvement-0.7#207

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#56
First Shot+1.9#118
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#18
Layup/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#31
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#324
Freethrows+1.9#44
Improvement+3.0#43

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#86
First Shot+1.5#118
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#40
Layups/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#245
Freethrows+1.1#107
Improvement-3.7#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 69 - 15
Quad 32 - 411 - 19
Quad 43 - 014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 51   Notre Dame W 74-65 56%     1 - 0 +15.3 +0.5 +14.5
  Nov 08, 2019 303   @ UNC Wilmington W 78-62 88%     2 - 0 +11.0 -2.3 +11.7
  Nov 15, 2019 216   Gardner-Webb W 77-61 89%     3 - 0 +10.1 -3.6 +13.0
  Nov 20, 2019 270   Elon W 75-61 93%     4 - 0 +4.8 -6.5 +11.0
  Nov 27, 2019 54   Alabama W 76-67 45%     5 - 0 +17.9 -2.2 +19.1
  Nov 28, 2019 15   Michigan L 64-73 26%     5 - 1 +5.3 -2.7 +8.0
  Nov 29, 2019 20   Oregon W 78-74 28%     6 - 1 +17.6 +15.0 +3.0
  Dec 04, 2019 9   Ohio St. L 49-74 33%     6 - 2 -12.7 -14.7 +0.1
  Dec 08, 2019 40   @ Virginia L 47-56 29%     6 - 3 0 - 1 +4.5 -5.9 +9.2
  Dec 15, 2019 148   Wofford L 64-68 81%     6 - 4 -5.7 -6.4 +0.4
  Dec 18, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 81-94 9%     6 - 5 +9.3 +6.3 +4.5
  Dec 21, 2019 71   UCLA W 74-64 52%     7 - 5 +17.3 -3.5 +19.8
  Dec 30, 2019 72   Yale W 70-67 63%     8 - 5 +7.2 -3.3 +10.4
  Jan 04, 2020 58   Georgia Tech L 83-96 58%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -7.5 +13.1 -20.1
  Jan 08, 2020 104   Pittsburgh L 65-73 72%     8 - 7 0 - 3 -6.4 -7.2 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2020 67   Clemson L 76-79 OT 62%     8 - 8 0 - 4 +1.7 +2.3 -0.3
  Jan 18, 2020 104   @ Pittsburgh L 52-66 50%     8 - 9 0 - 5 -6.3 -11.5 +3.9
  Jan 22, 2020 100   @ Virginia Tech L 77-79 2OT 49%     8 - 10 0 - 6 +6.1 +1.2 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2020 92   Miami (FL) W 94-71 69%     9 - 10 1 - 6 +25.4 +16.3 +7.9
  Jan 27, 2020 45   @ North Carolina St. W 75-65 30%     10 - 10 2 - 6 +23.0 +9.7 +13.6
  Feb 01, 2020 159   Boston College L 70-71 83%     10 - 11 2 - 7 -3.4 -4.0 +0.6
  Feb 03, 2020 12   @ Florida St. L 59-65 18%     10 - 12 2 - 8 +11.6 -4.9 +16.5
  Feb 08, 2020 3   Duke L 96-98 OT 25%     10 - 13 2 - 9 +12.7 +6.2 +6.9
  Feb 11, 2020 94   @ Wake Forest L 57-74 48%     10 - 14 2 - 10 -8.7 -11.8 +2.5
  Feb 15, 2020 40   Virginia L 62-64 51%     10 - 15 2 - 11 +5.4 +6.3 -1.1
  Feb 17, 2020 51   @ Notre Dame L 76-77 33%     10 - 16 2 - 12 +11.3 +11.1 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2020 11   @ Louisville L 55-72 17%     10 - 17 2 - 13 +0.9 -4.7 +4.0
  Feb 25, 2020 45   North Carolina St. W 85-79 53%     11 - 17 3 - 13 +13.0 +7.4 +5.1
  Feb 29, 2020 46   @ Syracuse W 92-79 30%     12 - 17 4 - 13 +26.0 +23.0 +2.9
  Mar 03, 2020 94   Wake Forest W 93-83 70%     13 - 17 5 - 13 +12.3 +14.3 -2.5
  Mar 07, 2020 3   @ Duke L 76-89 12%     13 - 18 5 - 14 +7.7 +12.4 -4.6
  Mar 10, 2020 100   Virginia Tech W 78-56 60%     14 - 18 +27.0 +17.4 +12.0
  Mar 11, 2020 46   Syracuse L 53-81 41%     14 - 19 -18.0 -18.0 +0.2
Projected Record 14 - 19 5 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%